New Bern, NC 28560 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 52
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Home Value
$270,531
+2.3% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
52
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.3 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
76 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
21%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
31%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,686/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
35%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$500
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 35% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.3% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 16% below the 2017-19 norm, still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (52/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.8% below their final list price; 21% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 31% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $68k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,132 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Owning and renting a typical home cost about the same per month.
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $500 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from hurricanes. Check insurance costs before buying.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +11% over the next 12 months (73% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.6% to +10.7% (80% range; middle estimate +3.7%), chance of a rise 73%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Craven County, NC
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Woods, NC 28562 | $316.8K | +2.3% | 44 |
| Havelock, NC 28532 | $235.4K | +2.8% | 21 |
| Vanceboro, NC 28586 | $198.3K | +2.0% | 81 |
| Cove City, NC 28523 | $183.8K | +2.5% | 17 |
| ZIP 28533 | – | – | – |
| Dover, NC 28526 | $137.1K | +2.0% | 39 |
| Ernul, NC 28527 | $222.9K | +2.8% | 9 |
| Bridgeton, NC 28519 | – | – | 38 |