Lake Toxaway, NC 28747 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 83
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Home Value
$678,471
−0.3% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
83
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
10.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
111 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
13%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
93.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
71%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
23%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$82
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 23% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are flat over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 49% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+9% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (83/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 6.5% below their final list price; 13% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 71% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $157k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,357 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $82 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (57% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.3% to +8.0% (80% range; middle estimate +1.0%), chance of a rise 57%, of a 5%+ drop 18%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Transylvania County, NC
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brevard, NC 28712 | $462.5K | −2.0% | 95 |
| Pisgah Forest, NC 28768 | $453.5K | −3.7% | 95 |
| Sapphire, NC 28774 | $657.3K | +1.4% | 75 |
| Brevard, NC 28772 | $326.6K | +2.6% | 90 |
| Penrose, NC 28766 | $407.9K | −1.2% | 49 |
| Cedar Mountain, NC 28718 | $405.8K | −0.4% | 100 |
| Balsam Grove, NC 28708 | $320.6K | −0.7% | 5 |