Cayce, SC 29033 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 71
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Home Value
$211,537
+3.1% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
71
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
51 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
34%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
25%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,413/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
51%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$133
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 51% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.1% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 21% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−8% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (71/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.8% below their final list price; 34% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 25% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $51k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,274 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $130/mo less than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $133 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +10% over the next 12 months (68% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.5% to +9.8% (80% range; middle estimate +2.7%), chance of a rise 68%, of a 5%+ drop 13%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Lexington County, SC
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lexington, SC 29072 | $365.4K | +2.2% | 46 |
| Lexington, SC 29073 | $259.2K | +1.0% | 45 |
| Columbia, SC 29212 | $279.9K | +0.8% | 39 |
| Chapin, SC 29036 | $441.4K | +2.2% | 45 |
| West Columbia, SC 29169 | $229.3K | +2.4% | 44 |
| Springdale, SC 29170 | $248.6K | +1.6% | 38 |
| Gaston, SC 29053 | $157.6K | −0.7% | 21 |
| Leesville, SC 29070 | $262.9K | +5.3% | 77 |
| Gilbert, SC 29054 | $335.3K | +3.0% | 55 |
| Pine Ridge, SC 29172 | $210.3K | +0.5% | 30 |
| Pelion, SC 29123 | $153.7K | +3.5% | 63 |
| Swansea, SC 29160 | $181.3K | +5.5% | 57 |