Carnesville, GA 30521 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 82
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Home Value
$312,688
+3.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
82
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.3 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
60 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
56%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
44%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
66%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$121
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 66% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 80% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+23% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (82/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.5% below their final list price; 56% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 44% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $79k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,696 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $121 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +9% over the next 12 months (61% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.7% to +8.6% (80% range; middle estimate +1.5%), chance of a rise 61%, of a 5%+ drop 16%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Franklin County, GA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lavonia, GA 30553 | $317.3K | +0.4% | 92 |
| Royston, GA 30662 | $268.3K | +3.4% | 95 |
| Martin, GA 30557 | $308.1K | +0.1% | 70 |
| ZIP 30639 | – | – | 40 |