Manchester, GA 31816 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 67
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Home Value
$127,678
−2.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
67
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
6.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
88 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
11%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
21%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,195/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
33%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$80
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 33% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 2.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 3% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 2% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+94% vs. a year ago), close to pre-pandemic levels.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (67/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.3% below their final list price; 11% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 21% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $36k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,764 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $294/mo less than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $80 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +10% over the next 12 months (68% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.6% to +9.8% (80% range; middle estimate +2.7%), chance of a rise 68%, of a 5%+ drop 13%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Meriwether County, GA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Greenville, GA 30222 | $226.8K | +5.4% | 70 |
| Luthersville, GA 30251 | $282.5K | +1.6% | 55 |
| Warm Springs, GA 31830 | $215K | +7.0% | 42 |
| Woodbury, GA 30293 | $196.6K | +2.1% | 54 |
| Gay, GA 30218 | $276.4K | +3.2% | 18 |