Panama City, FL 32404 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 82
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Home Value
$286,214
+0.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
82
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
88 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
21%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.3%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
29%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,837/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
23%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$378
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 23% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 0.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 54% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+17% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (82/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.7% below their final list price; 21% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 29% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $73k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,827 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Owning and renting a typical home cost about the same per month.
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $378 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from hurricanes. Check insurance costs before buying.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (53% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.9% to +7.4% (80% range; middle estimate +0.4%), chance of a rise 53%, of a 5%+ drop 20%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Bay County, FL
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panama City, FL 32405 | $298.8K | +1.1% | 94 |
| Lynn Haven, FL 32444 | $324.4K | +0.4% | 82 |
| Panama City, FL 32401 | $217.2K | +1.3% | 98 |
| Panama City Beach, FL 32408 | $369.7K | −2.0% | 99 |
| Panama City Beach, FL 32407 | $395.4K | −2.6% | 98 |
| Panama City Beach, FL 32413 | $468.9K | −1.1% | 99 |
| Southport, FL 32409 | $373.9K | +1.6% | 83 |
| Youngstown, FL 32466 | $272.9K | +2.1% | 50 |
| Fountain, FL 32438 | $163.6K | +4.9% | 27 |
| ZIP 32410 | – | – | 50 |
| ZIP 32403 | – | – | – |