North Miami Beach, FL 33162 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 87
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Home Value
$469,254
+1.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
87
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
78 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
17%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
60%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$2,252/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
93%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$156
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 93% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 23% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−17% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (87/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.9% below their final list price; 17% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 60% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $122k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $4,986 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $798/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $156 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from hurricanes.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +12% over the next 12 months (76% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.8% to +11.5% (80% range; middle estimate +4.5%), chance of a rise 76%, of a 5%+ drop 9%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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