Toney, AL 35773 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 88
Open on the mapMarket report (PDF)Compare
Home Value
$271,687
+1.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
88
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
6.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
86 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
25%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
26%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,724/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
39%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$138
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 39% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 83% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+73% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (88/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.9% below their final list price; 25% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 26% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $64k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,809 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $120/mo less than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $138 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (64% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.3% to +9.0% (80% range; middle estimate +2.0%), chance of a rise 64%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
Follow Toney, AL 35773
One email a month: what changed in prices, supply and the outlook. Unsubscribe any time.
Other ZIP codes in Madison County, AL
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Madison, AL 35758 | $378.1K | +1.3% | 72 |
| Huntsville, AL 35810 | $169.1K | −1.4% | 83 |
| Huntsville, AL 35811 | $288.4K | +1.4% | 85 |
| Harvest, AL 35749 | $314.3K | +1.0% | 82 |
| Huntsville, AL 35803 | $321.3K | +1.2% | 69 |
| Huntsville, AL 35806 | $365.4K | +1.2% | 70 |
| Huntsville, AL 35802 | $364.1K | +2.1% | 65 |
| Huntsville, AL 35801 | $401.2K | +2.0% | 66 |
| Huntsville, AL 35805 | $155.3K | −2.1% | 97 |
| Owens Cross Roads, AL 35763 | $441.4K | +1.9% | 38 |
| Madison, AL 35757 | $349.8K | +0.6% | 76 |
| Huntsville, AL 35816 | $163.9K | +2.1% | 90 |
| Meridianville, AL 35759 | $328.8K | −0.8% | 90 |
| New Market, AL 35761 | $293.9K | +0.1% | 86 |
| Hazel Green, AL 35750 | $264.1K | +2.6% | 76 |
| Huntsville, AL 35824 | $386.8K | 0.0% | 51 |
| Gurley, AL 35748 | $351.1K | +1.5% | 55 |
| New Hope, AL 35760 | $231.4K | +6.3% | 49 |
| Huntsville, AL 35741 | $413.5K | +0.3% | 18 |
| Huntsville, AL 35808 | – | – | – |
| ZIP 35896 | – | – | – |