Montgomery, AL 36104 housing market

What this means

• Valuation. Prices are 58% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
• Prices. Home values are down 7.1% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 31% below their 2022-23 peak.
• Supply. Listings are 19% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+18% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
• Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (92/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.3% below their final list price; 26% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
• Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 17% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $19k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,697 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
• Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $1,040/mo less than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
• Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $145 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
• Outlook. No clear direction: likely −10% to +7% over the next 12 months (47% chance of a rise).

Next 12 months

No clear direction

A fall is somewhat more likely than a rise, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.6% to +6.7% (80% range; middle estimate −0.4%), chance of a rise 47%, of a 5%+ drop 23%.

HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.

Other ZIP codes in Montgomery County, AL