Centerville, TN 37033 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 100
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Home Value
$245,986
+3.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
100
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
8.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
91 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
31%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
92.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
26%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
37%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$167
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 37% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 24% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+32% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (100/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 7.9% below their final list price; 31% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 26% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $60k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $167 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (53% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.9% to +7.4% (80% range; middle estimate +0.4%), chance of a rise 53%, of a 5%+ drop 20%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Hickman County, TN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bon Aqua, TN 37025 | $330.3K | +1.7% | 94 |
| Lyles, TN 37098 | $262.2K | +4.5% | 75 |
| Nunnelly, TN 37137 | $56.8K | +16.8% | 92 |
| Only, TN 37140 | – | – | 47 |
| Duck River, TN 38454 | $279.6K | +4.5% | 99 |