Mount Juliet, TN 37122 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 70
Open on the mapMarket report (PDF)Compare
Home Value
$572,601
+0.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
70
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
52 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
26%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
35%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$2,073/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
38%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$128
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 38% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are flat over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 35% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+39% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (70/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.0% below their final list price; 26% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 35% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $131k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,694 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $1,204/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $128 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (63% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.4% to +8.9% (80% range; middle estimate +1.9%), chance of a rise 63%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
Follow Mount Juliet, TN 37122
One email a month: what changed in prices, supply and the outlook. Unsubscribe any time.
Other ZIP codes in Wilson County, TN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lebanon, TN 37087 | $443.1K | +1.2% | 64 |
| Lebanon, TN 37090 | $458.4K | +1.6% | 63 |
| Watertown, TN 37184 | $434.6K | +3.1% | 73 |
| Auburntown, TN 37016 | $416.8K | +4.5% | 62 |