Athens, TN 37303 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 72
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Home Value
$264,820
+2.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
72
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
81 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
24%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
30%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,097/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
30%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$118
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 30% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 8% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+13% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (72/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.0% below their final list price; 24% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 30% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $63k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $475/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $118 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +10% over the next 12 months (67% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.7% to +9.6% (80% range; middle estimate +2.5%), chance of a rise 67%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in McMinn County, TN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Etowah, TN 37331 | $217.9K | +7.0% | 85 |
| Englewood, TN 37329 | $258.3K | +8.1% | 81 |
| Riceville, TN 37370 | $304.4K | +4.6% | 100 |
| Niota, TN 37826 | $275.7K | +2.7% | 58 |
| Calhoun, TN 37309 | $260.8K | +6.6% | 98 |