Seymour, TN 37865 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 63
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Home Value
$376,157
+1.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
63
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.7 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
64 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
32%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.8%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
29%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,580/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
30%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$108
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 30% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 7% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+7% vs. a year ago), close to pre-pandemic levels.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (63/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.2% below their final list price; 32% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 29% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $86k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,363 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $559/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $108 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (64% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.3% to +9.1% (80% range; middle estimate +2.0%), chance of a rise 64%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Sevier County, TN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sevierville, TN 37876 | $412.2K | +0.4% | 98 |
| Sevierville, TN 37862 | $455.8K | −1.9% | 100 |
| Sevierville, TN 37764 | $366.1K | +2.7% | 83 |
| Pigeon Forge, TN 37863 | $422.8K | −1.8% | 100 |
| Gatlinburg, TN 37738 | $410.7K | −2.8% | 100 |