Thorn Hill, TN 37881 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 62
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Home Value
$222,836
+12.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
62
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
7.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
83 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
14%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
44%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
69%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$163
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 69% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 12.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 20% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+83% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (62/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.9% below their final list price; 14% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 44% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $55k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,351 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $163 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (74% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.4% to +10.9% (80% range; middle estimate +3.8%), chance of a rise 74%, of a 5%+ drop 10%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Grainger County, TN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rutledge, TN 37861 | $292.1K | +6.2% | 67 |
| Bean Station, TN 37708 | $269K | +3.2% | 57 |
| Blaine, TN 37709 | $329.5K | +3.8% | 71 |
| New Tazewell, TN 37888 | $246.4K | +10.4% | 28 |
| Powder Springs, TN 37848 | $245.5K | +2.4% | 33 |