Henry, TN 38231 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 22
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Home Value
$205,203
+10.0% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
22
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
18 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
93.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
40%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
121%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$170
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 121% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 10.0% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 33% below the 2017-19 norm: still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (22/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 6.5% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 40% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $50k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $170 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from earthquakes.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +12% over the next 12 months (79% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.2% to +12.1% (80% range; middle estimate +5.1%), chance of a rise 79%, of a 5%+ drop 8%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Henry County, TN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris, TN 38242 | $216.8K | +6.2% | 75 |
| Puryear, TN 38251 | $217K | +13.1% | 88 |
| Springville, TN 38256 | $203.6K | +4.3% | 97 |
| Buchanan, TN 38222 | $293.1K | +8.8% | 100 |
| Mansfield, TN 38236 | $260.2K | +18.5% | 63 |
| Cottage Grove, TN 38224 | $273K | +7.5% | 30 |