Cedar Grove, TN 38321 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 40
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Home Value
$204,263
+7.3% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
40
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.7 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
63 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
15%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
27%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
35%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$150
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 35% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 7.3% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 18% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−25% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (40/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.3% below their final list price; 15% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 27% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $51k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $150 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from earthquakes.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +12% over the next 12 months (80% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −3.9% to +12.4% (80% range; middle estimate +5.3%), chance of a rise 80%, of a 5%+ drop 7%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Carroll County, TN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| McKenzie, TN 38201 | $192.4K | +3.5% | 89 |
| Huntingdon, TN 38344 | $196.1K | +1.6% | 83 |
| Bruceton, TN 38317 | $147.8K | +0.7% | 94 |
| Atwood, TN 38220 | $151.5K | −1.3% | 40 |
| Trezevant, TN 38258 | $135.3K | +4.6% | 63 |
| Hollow Rock, TN 38342 | $150.4K | +5.2% | 92 |
| Clarksburg, TN 38390 | $245K | +7.0% | 25 |
| Lavinia, TN 38348 | $199K | +7.4% | 31 |
| Westport, TN 38387 | $274.7K | +11.8% | 64 |
| Buena Vista, TN 38318 | $204.6K | +3.5% | 79 |
| ZIP 38235 | – | – | 13 |