Gordonsville, TN 38563 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 98
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Home Value
$317,490
+4.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
98
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
29.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
83 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
11%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
89.9%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
45%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
95%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$173
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 95% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 4.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 364% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+113% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (98/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 10.1% below their final list price; 11% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 45% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $76k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $173 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (64% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.3% to +9.0% (80% range; middle estimate +2.0%), chance of a rise 64%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Smith County, TN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carthage, TN 37030 | $282.2K | +2.9% | 92 |
| Pleasant Shade, TN 37145 | $260.2K | +6.1% | 99 |
| Carthage, TN 38547 | $353.3K | +5.6% | 22 |
| Elmwood, TN 38560 | $304.5K | +7.7% | 86 |
| Hickman, TN 38567 | $318.8K | +2.4% | 100 |
| Chestnut Mound, TN 38552 | $275.4K | +12.7% | 98 |
| Riddleton, TN 37151 | $311.1K | +5.0% | 63 |
| Lancaster, TN 38569 | $430.9K | +2.7% | 58 |