Baldwyn, MS 38824 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 32
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Home Value
$161,511
+7.0% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
32
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
53 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
18%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
94.5%
Mar 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
27%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
5.8%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$110
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+6% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are up 7.0% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 41% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+13% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (32/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 5.4% below their final list price (as of Mar 2026); 18% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 27% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $43k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,640 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $110 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +12% over the next 12 months (80% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.0% to +12.3% (80% range; middle estimate +5.3%), chance of a rise 80%, of a 5%+ drop 7%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Prentiss County, MS
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Booneville, MS 38829 | $147.4K | +3.8% | 37 |
| New Site, MS 38859 | $144.7K | +2.9% | 13 |