Smithville, MS 38870 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 42
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Home Value
$190,316
−1.3% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
42
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.7 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
68 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
54.5%
Dec 2024
Mtg Payment as % of Income
21%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-13%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$114
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 13% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are down 1.3% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 3% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 83% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+57% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (42/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 45.5% below their final list price (as of Dec 2024); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 21% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $49k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,640 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $114 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (57% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.4% to +7.9% (80% range; middle estimate +0.9%), chance of a rise 57%, of a 5%+ drop 18%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Monroe County, MS
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Amory, MS 38821 | $167.3K | +2.8% | 61 |
| Aberdeen, MS 39730 | $147.6K | +0.8% | 98 |
| Hamilton, MS 39746 | $196.2K | +1.9% | 40 |
| Greenwood Springs, MS 38848 | – | – | 13 |
| Gattman, MS 38844 | – | – | 72 |