Water Valley, MS 38965 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 50
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Home Value
$191,595
+1.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
50
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
66 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
21%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
101.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
25%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-6.0%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$134
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 6% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are up 1.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), but still 8% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 12% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+37% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (50/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (101.0% of list); 21% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 25% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $48k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,603 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $134 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (54% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.8% to +7.5% (80% range; middle estimate +0.4%), chance of a rise 54%, of a 5%+ drop 20%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Yalobusha County, MS
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coffeeville, MS 38922 | $128.7K | −2.4% | 44 |
| Oakland, MS 38948 | $149.3K | −0.6% | 21 |
| Tillatoba, MS 38961 | $158.9K | +7.5% | 6 |