Raleigh, MS 39153 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 100
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Home Value
$152,073
−7.1% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
100
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
16.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
123 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
22%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
92.6%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
19%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-35%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$144
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 35% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are down 7.1% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 14% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 59% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+800% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (100/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 7.4% below their final list price; 22% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 19% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $39k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,640 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $144 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −11% to +5% over the next 12 months (36% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A fall is somewhat more likely than a rise, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −11.1% to +5.2% (80% range; middle estimate −1.9%), chance of a rise 36%, of a 5%+ drop 30%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Smith County, MS
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Taylorsville, MS 39168 | $147.8K | −2.7% | 68 |
| Mize, MS 39116 | $177.3K | −2.7% | 34 |
| Pulaski, MS 39152 | $152.1K | +2.7% | 13 |