Bailey, MS 39320 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 27
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Home Value
$198,938
+3.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
27
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.1 months
Aug 2024
Days on Market
203 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
78.3%
Apr 2022
Mtg Payment as % of Income
22%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
35%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$115
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 35% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 75% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−60% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (27/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 21.7% below their final list price (as of Apr 2022); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 22% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $51k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,750 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $115 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +10% over the next 12 months (71% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.9% to +10.4% (80% range; middle estimate +3.4%), chance of a rise 71%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Lauderdale County, MS
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Meridian, MS 39305 | $190K | +1.5% | 19 |
| Meridian, MS 39301 | $98K | +0.9% | 51 |
| Meridian, MS 39307 | $63.8K | +5.7% | 46 |
| Collinsville, MS 39325 | $214.5K | +1.0% | 54 |
| Toomsuba, MS 39364 | $141K | +1.1% | 67 |
| Lauderdale, MS 39335 | $149.6K | +0.7% | 66 |
| Marion, MS 39342 | $183.8K | +0.8% | 48 |
| ZIP 39309 | – | – | – |