Decatur, MS 39327 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 56
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Home Value
$174,014
−0.6% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
56
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
12.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
90 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
23%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
25%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$134
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 25% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 0.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 10% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 25% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+400% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (56/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.3% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 23% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $45k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,766 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $134 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +8% over the next 12 months (56% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.5% to +7.8% (80% range; middle estimate +0.8%), chance of a rise 56%, of a 5%+ drop 19%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Newton County, MS
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newton, MS 39345 | $125.8K | −3.2% | 97 |
| Conehatta, MS 39057 | $168.2K | +0.7% | 69 |
| Hickory, MS 39332 | $171.5K | −1.7% | 33 |
| Little Rock, MS 39337 | $147K | −3.1% | 89 |
| Lawrence, MS 39336 | $139.8K | +0.1% | 38 |
| Chunky, MS 39323 | $154.9K | +2.1% | 34 |