Ellisville, MS 39437 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 36
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Home Value
$186,970
+0.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
36
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
46 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
19%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
27%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-6.4%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$128
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 6% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are up 0.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 49% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+18% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (36/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.8% below their final list price; 19% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 27% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $50k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,809 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $128 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (63% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.4% to +8.9% (80% range; middle estimate +1.8%), chance of a rise 63%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Jones County, MS
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Laurel, MS 39443 | $166.6K | −0.3% | 22 |
| Laurel, MS 39440 | $101.1K | −6.6% | 84 |
| Moselle, MS 39459 | $177.8K | −2.9% | 98 |
| Ovett, MS 39464 | $168.7K | +2.2% | 66 |
| Soso, MS 39480 | $170K | +1.4% | 5 |
| ZIP 39477 | – | – | 69 |