Loretto, KY 40037 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 89
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Home Value
$251,228
+2.5% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
89
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
110 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
33%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
26%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
30%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$119
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 30% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.5% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 177% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+50% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (89/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.9% below their final list price; 33% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 26% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $61k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,583 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $119 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (58% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.1% to +8.2% (80% range; middle estimate +1.1%), chance of a rise 58%, of a 5%+ drop 18%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Marion County, KY
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lebanon, KY 40033 | $232.3K | +1.3% | 67 |
| Bradfordsville, KY 40009 | $207.8K | −4.1% | 26 |
| Raywick, KY 40060 | $266.3K | +2.9% | 61 |
| Gravel Switch, KY 40328 | $250.5K | +1.9% | 99 |
| ZIP 40063 | – | – | – |
| Saint Francis, KY 40062 | $242.5K | +2.9% | 14 |
| ZIP 40049 | – | – | – |