New Haven, KY 40051 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 52
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Home Value
$212,046
+0.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
52
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
2.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
56 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
24%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
20%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
6.9%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$195
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+7% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are flat over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 5% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+15% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (52/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.3% below their final list price; 24% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 20% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $55k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,586 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $195 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +10% over the next 12 months (67% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.7% to +9.6% (80% range; middle estimate +2.6%), chance of a rise 67%, of a 5%+ drop 13%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Nelson County, KY
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bardstown, KY 40004 | $265.3K | +3.8% | 41 |
| Coxs Creek, KY 40013 | $317.6K | +4.7% | 26 |
| Bloomfield, KY 40008 | $260.9K | +3.9% | 47 |
| Boston, KY 40107 | $252.3K | +5.2% | 49 |
| Chaplin, KY 40012 | $220.2K | +6.1% | 42 |
| New Hope, KY 40052 | $245K | +4.4% | 38 |
| Fairfield, KY 40020 | – | – | 13 |