Prospect, KY 40059 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 33
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Home Value
$628,651
+3.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
33
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
47 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
22%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
31%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$2,262/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
38%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$158
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 38% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 3.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 26% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+15% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (33/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.9% below their final list price; 22% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 31% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $156k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,050 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $1,639/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $158 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (76% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.8% to +11.5% (80% range; middle estimate +4.4%), chance of a rise 76%, of a 5%+ drop 9%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Oldham County, KY
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| La Grange, KY 40031 | $393.1K | +1.4% | 22 |
| Crestwood, KY 40014 | $471.8K | +2.5% | 35 |
| Goshen, KY 40026 | $516.2K | +3.5% | 17 |
| Pewee Valley, KY 40056 | $365.7K | +0.5% | 35 |
| Buckner, KY 40010 | $513K | +2.2% | 11 |
| Westport, KY 40077 | $340.5K | +1.0% | 61 |