Smithfield, KY 40068 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 32
Open on the mapMarket report (PDF)Compare
Home Value
$418,016
+6.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
32
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.1 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
61 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
25%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
38%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
32%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$113
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 32% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 6.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 69% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−33% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (32/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (100.5% of list); 25% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 38% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $103k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,922 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $113 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +12% over the next 12 months (79% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.2% to +12.1% (80% range; middle estimate +5.1%), chance of a rise 79%, of a 5%+ drop 8%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
Follow Smithfield, KY 40068
One email a month: what changed in prices, supply and the outlook. Unsubscribe any time.
Other ZIP codes in Henry County, KY
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eminence, KY 40019 | $228.6K | +1.1% | 42 |
| Pleasureville, KY 40057 | $248.3K | −3.4% | 46 |
| Campbellsburg, KY 40011 | $233.5K | +1.2% | 39 |
| New Castle, KY 40050 | $212.4K | −4.9% | 24 |
| Turners Station, KY 40075 | $243.3K | +3.2% | 99 |
| New Castle, KY 40070 | $281K | +8.4% | 27 |
| Lockport, KY 40036 | – | – | 85 |
| Bethlehem, KY 40007 | – | – | 8 |
| ZIP 40058 | – | – | – |