Falls of Rough, KY 40119 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 64
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Home Value
$142,838
−10.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
64
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
7.7 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
81 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
5.7%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
18%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
97%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$168
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 97% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 10.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 1% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+23% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (64/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.8% below their final list price; 6% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 18% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $39k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,581 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $168 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (65% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.0% to +9.3% (80% range; middle estimate +2.2%), chance of a rise 65%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Breckinridge County, KY
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hardinsburg, KY 40143 | $187.3K | −0.2% | 95 |
| Irvington, KY 40146 | $170.6K | −2.2% | 52 |
| Hardinsburg, KY 40144 | $183.8K | −1.0% | 48 |
| Cloverport, KY 40111 | $118.4K | −1.8% | 36 |
| Hudson, KY 40145 | $164.7K | −1.2% | 99 |
| Custer, KY 40115 | $207.7K | +1.0% | 5 |
| Webster, KY 40176 | $249.7K | +0.3% | 83 |
| Custer, KY 40140 | $202.3K | −0.6% | 62 |
| McDaniels, KY 40152 | $187.8K | −0.8% | 77 |
| Westview, KY 40178 | $166.7K | −2.4% | 83 |
| Payneville, KY 40170 | $123.8K | −18.3% | 38 |
| Payneville, KY 40171 | $188.7K | +0.9% | 10 |