Rineyville, KY 40162 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 28
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Home Value
$286,161
−2.1% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
28
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
52 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
30%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
25%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
39%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$103
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 39% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 2.1% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 43% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−19% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (28/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.8% below their final list price; 30% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 25% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $70k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,640 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $103 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (66% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −6.9% to +9.4% (80% range; middle estimate +2.4%), chance of a rise 66%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Hardin County, KY
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabethtown, KY 42701 | $269.3K | −2.8% | 73 |
| Radcliff, KY 40160 | $213.2K | −1.5% | 76 |
| ZIP 40121 | – | – | – |
| Cecilia, KY 42724 | $232K | −4.8% | 69 |
| Sonora, KY 42776 | $223.3K | −5.2% | 70 |
| Glendale, KY 42740 | $254.8K | −2.3% | 100 |
| Big Clifty, KY 42712 | $168.1K | −19.0% | 86 |
| Eastview, KY 42732 | $182.4K | −14.3% | 59 |
| White Mills, KY 42788 | – | – | 15 |