Lily, KY 40740 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 85
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Home Value
$152,893
−5.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
85
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
7.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
76 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
29%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
18%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
-7.4%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$143
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 7% below this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm, cheaper relative to incomes than before the pandemic.
- Prices. Home values are down 5.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 16% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+250% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (85/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.3% below their final list price; 29% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 18% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $39k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,470 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $143 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +10% over the next 12 months (68% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.6% to +9.7% (80% range; middle estimate +2.7%), chance of a rise 68%, of a 5%+ drop 13%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Laurel County, KY
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| London, KY 40741 | $182.2K | −1.6% | 71 |
| London, KY 40744 | $192.7K | −3.4% | 85 |
| East Bernstadt, KY 40729 | $153.5K | −1.0% | 82 |
| Keavy, KY 40737 | $152.7K | −2.8% | 11 |