Independence, KY 41051 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 15
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Home Value
$334,422
+2.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
15
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.7 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
47 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
18%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.8%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
24%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$2,074/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
32%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$85
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 32% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 30% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+24% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (15/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.2% below their final list price; 18% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 24% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $84k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Owning and renting a typical home cost about the same per month.
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $85 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (76% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.9% to +11.4% (80% range; middle estimate +4.4%), chance of a rise 76%, of a 5%+ drop 9%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Kenton County, KY
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lakeside Park, KY 41017 | $338.2K | +3.0% | 34 |
| Elsmere, KY 41018 | $234.7K | −1.9% | 14 |
| Covington, KY 41011 | $289.5K | +0.2% | 35 |
| Taylor Mill, KY 41015 | $231.8K | +1.8% | 33 |
| Covington, KY 41014 | $177.7K | −0.4% | 27 |
| Ludlow, KY 41016 | $199.4K | −0.4% | 41 |
| Morning View, KY 41063 | $310.9K | +6.3% | 82 |