Melbourne, KY 41059 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 20
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Home Value
$313,554
+0.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
20
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
6.4 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
48 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
98.8%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
41%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
91%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$107
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 91% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 0.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 47% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−50% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (20/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.2% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 41% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $79k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $107 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +12% over the next 12 months (77% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.5% to +11.8% (80% range; middle estimate +4.7%), chance of a rise 77%, of a 5%+ drop 9%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Campbell County, KY
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newport, KY 41071 | $233.9K | +0.2% | 84 |
| Alexandria, KY 41001 | $345.2K | +5.4% | 15 |
| Fort Thomas, KY 41075 | $379.1K | +6.9% | 28 |
| Cold Spring, KY 41076 | $267K | +1.6% | 31 |
| Dayton, KY 41074 | $202.7K | −0.6% | 50 |
| Bellevue, KY 41073 | $245.6K | +0.3% | 52 |
| Alexandria, KY 41007 | $363K | +6.4% | 7 |
| Silver Grove, KY 41085 | $192.4K | −1.2% | 24 |