Farmington, KY 42040 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 13
Open on the mapMarket report (PDF)Compare
Home Value
$209,043
−2.3% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
13
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.1 months
Jul 2026
Days on Market
14 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
101.9%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
32%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
121%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$207
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 121% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 2.3% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 67% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+150% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (13/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (101.9% of list); 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 32% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $54k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,696 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $207 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from earthquakes.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (66% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −6.9% to +9.4% (80% range; middle estimate +2.4%), chance of a rise 66%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
Follow Farmington, KY 42040
One email a month: what changed in prices, supply and the outlook. Unsubscribe any time.
Other ZIP codes in Graves County, KY
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mayfield, KY 42066 | $163.1K | −0.8% | 55 |
| Wingo, KY 42088 | $157.4K | +2.0% | 83 |
| Hickory, KY 42051 | $200.4K | +1.8% | 13 |
| Boaz, KY 42027 | $232.3K | +3.1% | 9 |
| Symsonia, KY 42082 | $188.2K | +1.9% | 77 |
| Fancy Farm, KY 42039 | $171.1K | −4.1% | 26 |
| Sedalia, KY 42079 | $185.4K | +4.0% | 58 |
| Melber, KY 42069 | $218.2K | +2.2% | 26 |
| Water Valley, KY 42085 | $112.6K | +1.8% | 61 |
| ZIP 42061 | – | – | – |