New Concord, KY 42076 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 73
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Home Value
$153,044
−12.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
73
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
12.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
81 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
11%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
93.8%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
33%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
451%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$165
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 451% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 12.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 39% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−19% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (73/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 6.2% below their final list price; 11% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 33% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $40k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,696 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $165 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +10% over the next 12 months (68% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.5% to +9.8% (80% range; middle estimate +2.8%), chance of a rise 68%, of a 5%+ drop 13%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Calloway County, KY
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Murray, KY 42071 | $196.1K | −11.1% | 42 |
| Almo, KY 42020 | $211.2K | −9.4% | 56 |
| Hazel, KY 42049 | $155.6K | −6.1% | 100 |
| Dexter, KY 42036 | $158.4K | −17.8% | 27 |
| Kirksey, KY 42054 | $220.9K | −8.6% | 16 |