Lucas, KY 42156 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 56
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Home Value
$218,761
+1.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
56
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
12.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
69 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
100.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
16%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
1.6%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$139
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+2% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 163% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+250% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (56/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.0% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 16% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $54k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $139 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −10% to +7% over the next 12 months (47% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A fall is somewhat more likely than a rise, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.6% to +6.7% (80% range; middle estimate −0.3%), chance of a rise 47%, of a 5%+ drop 23%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Barren County, KY
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Glasgow, KY 42141 | $217.7K | −0.5% | 90 |
| Cave City, KY 42127 | $207.1K | −5.1% | 90 |
| Austin, KY 42123 | $222.6K | −1.3% | 91 |
| Eighty Eight, KY 42130 | – | – | 29 |
| Etoile, KY 42131 | – | – | 100 |