Smiths Grove, KY 42171 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 78
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Home Value
$254,534
+0.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
78
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
7.9 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
59 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
16%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
97.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
27%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
46%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$183
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 46% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 0.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 132% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+47% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (78/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 2.5% below their final list price; 16% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 27% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $64k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,554 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $183 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (52% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.1% to +7.2% (80% range; middle estimate +0.2%), chance of a rise 52%, of a 5%+ drop 21%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Warren County, KY
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green, KY 42101 | $236.4K | +0.2% | 78 |
| Bowling Green, KY 42104 | $320.9K | 0.0% | 75 |
| Bowling Green, KY 42103 | $360.4K | +2.3% | 67 |
| Alvaton, KY 42122 | $401.8K | +1.7% | 93 |
| Rockfield, KY 42274 | $288.1K | +4.1% | 99 |
| Woodburn, KY 42170 | $290.4K | +2.0% | 16 |
| Oakland, KY 42159 | $286.4K | +3.5% | 47 |