Morgantown, KY 42261 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Buyer's market · leverage 90
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Home Value
$175,990
−8.6% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
90
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
8.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
49 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
30%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
25%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
3.0%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$171
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are roughly in line with local incomes (+3% vs. this area's pre-2020 price-to-income norm).
- Prices. Home values are down 8.6% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 8% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 50% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+13% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (90/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.5% below their final list price; 30% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 25% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $44k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $171 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +7% over the next 12 months (51% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −9.1% to +7.2% (80% range; middle estimate +0.1%), chance of a rise 51%, of a 5%+ drop 21%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Butler County, KY
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roundhill, KY 42275 | $167.9K | −6.4% | 37 |
| Rochester, KY 42273 | $141.2K | −11.0% | 54 |
| Jetson, KY 42252 | – | – | 28 |