Madisonville, KY 42431 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 59
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Home Value
$158,354
−8.0% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
59
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
57 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
21%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.5%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
23%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
27%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$160
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 27% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 8.0% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 24% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+6% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (59/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.5% below their final list price; 21% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 23% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $42k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,514 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $160 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −9% to +8% over the next 12 months (56% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.5% to +7.8% (80% range; middle estimate +0.8%), chance of a rise 56%, of a 5%+ drop 19%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Hopkins County, KY
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dawson Springs, KY 42408 | $118.7K | −11.4% | 69 |
| Nortonville, KY 42442 | $118.1K | −0.6% | 85 |
| Manitou, KY 42413 | $244.8K | −3.0% | 23 |
| White Plains, KY 42464 | $140.1K | −10.0% | 26 |
| Manitou, KY 42436 | $225.4K | −2.5% | 16 |
| Nebo, KY 42441 | $162.4K | −7.5% | 1 |
| Earlington, KY 42410 | $54.5K | −15.7% | 74 |
| Mortons Gap, KY 42440 | $78.2K | −13.5% | 85 |
| Saint Charles, KY 42453 | $101K | −10.1% | 50 |