Caneyville, KY 42721 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 84
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Home Value
$154,027
−20.1% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
84
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
9.6 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
82 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
17%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
95.6%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
24%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
24%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$163
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 24% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 20.1% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 16% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. Listings are 16% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−25% vs. a year ago), still somewhat tight.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (84/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 4.4% below their final list price; 17% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 24% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $40k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,575 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $163 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −8% to +8% over the next 12 months (56% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −8.4% to +7.9% (80% range; middle estimate +0.8%), chance of a rise 56%, of a 5%+ drop 19%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Grayson County, KY
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leitchfield, KY 42754 | $162.3K | −16.6% | 99 |
| Clarkson, KY 42726 | $159.5K | −15.8% | 99 |
| Millwood, KY 42762 | – | – | 13 |