Grafton, OH 44044 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Seller's market · leverage 4
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Home Value
$319,152
+5.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
4
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.0 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
17 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
16%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.1%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
29%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
52%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$71
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 52% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 5.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 71% below the 2017-19 norm: still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (4/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.9% below their final list price; 16% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 29% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $84k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,261 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $71 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −3% to +14% over the next 12 months (83% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −2.8% to +13.5% (80% range; middle estimate +6.5%), chance of a rise 83%, of a 5%+ drop 6%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Lorain County, OH
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elyria, OH 44035 | $191.2K | +4.8% | 20 |
| North Ridgeville, OH 44039 | $333.7K | +4.7% | 10 |
| Lorain, OH 44052 | $142.1K | +5.1% | 32 |
| Avon Lake, OH 44012 | $426K | +4.5% | 7 |
| Avon, OH 44011 | $477.7K | +4.8% | 15 |
| Amherst, OH 44001 | $283.9K | +5.2% | 23 |
| Lorain, OH 44053 | $246.8K | +4.6% | 19 |
| Lorain, OH 44055 | $129.8K | +5.2% | 9 |
| Sheffield, OH 44054 | $229.6K | +4.7% | 27 |
| Oberlin, OH 44074 | $278.6K | +4.4% | 26 |
| New London, OH 44090 | $292.7K | +6.1% | 15 |
| Columbia Station, OH 44028 | $405.4K | +5.1% | 28 |
| Lagrange, OH 44050 | $305.7K | +4.8% | 40 |
| Wellington, OH 44049 | $145.7K | −0.4% | 12 |