Detroit, MI 48234 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 92
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Home Value
$54,117
−8.7% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
92
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.7 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
61 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
22%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
94.2%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
16%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,258/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
69%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$69
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 69% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are down 8.7% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%), 11% below their 2022-23 peak.
- Supply. There are 50% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and falling (−12% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (92/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 5.8% below their final list price; 22% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 16% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $19k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,261 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $786/mo less than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $69 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −7% to +10% over the next 12 months (67% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −6.7% to +9.6% (80% range; middle estimate +2.5%), chance of a rise 67%, of a 5%+ drop 14%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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