Shepherd, MI 48883 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 28
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Home Value
$224,425
+8.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
28
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.8 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
49 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
18%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
28%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
54%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$101
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 54% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 8.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 55% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+44% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (28/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.0% below their final list price; 18% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 28% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $61k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,218 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $101 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +12% over the next 12 months (78% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.5% to +11.9% (80% range; middle estimate +4.8%), chance of a rise 78%, of a 5%+ drop 8%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Isabella County, MI
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mount Pleasant, MI 48858 | $228.5K | +6.8% | 41 |
| Weidman, MI 48893 | $232.1K | +7.1% | 41 |
| Blanchard, MI 49310 | $229.2K | +6.7% | 22 |
| ZIP 48859 | – | – | – |
| Rosebush, MI 48878 | $227.6K | +10.4% | 40 |
| ZIP 48896 | – | – | 30 |