Arcadia, MI 49613 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 24
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Home Value
$421,215
+15.8% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
24
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
68 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
96.3%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
42%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
35%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$66
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 35% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 15.8% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 56% below the 2017-19 norm and rising (+400% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (24/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 3.7% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 42% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $109k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,244 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $66 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +12% over the next 12 months (77% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.5% to +11.8% (80% range; middle estimate +4.8%), chance of a rise 77%, of a 5%+ drop 9%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Manistee County, MI
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manistee, MI 49660 | $270K | +9.7% | 62 |
| Bear Lake, MI 49614 | $317K | +11.0% | 28 |
| Kaleva, MI 49645 | $224.8K | +11.9% | 36 |
| Wellston, MI 49689 | $174.3K | +11.1% | 39 |
| Copemish, MI 49625 | $238K | +9.1% | 51 |
| Brethren, MI 49619 | $221.7K | +11.8% | 41 |
| Onekama, MI 49675 | $359.3K | +11.8% | 81 |
| Eastlake, MI 49626 | – | – | 87 |
| ZIP 49634 | – | – | 0 |