Traverse City, MI 49686 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 42
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Home Value
$401,536
+1.0% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
42
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.1 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
53 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
33%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.3%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
42%
Aug 2026
Rental Rate
$1,941/mo
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
74%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$44
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 74% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 1.0% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 35% below the 2017-19 norm: still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (42/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.7% below their final list price; 33% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 42% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $101k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,244 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Buy vs. rent. Buying costs about $583/mo more than renting a typical home (mortgage payment vs. typical rent).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $44 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (73% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.4% to +10.9% (80% range; middle estimate +3.8%), chance of a rise 73%, of a 5%+ drop 10%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Grand Traverse County, MI
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Traverse City, MI 49685 | $437.4K | +2.5% | 48 |
| Traverse City, MI 49696 | $443.1K | +1.9% | 41 |
| Kingsley, MI 49649 | $349.9K | +4.1% | 59 |
| Williamsburg, MI 49690 | $477.2K | +2.9% | 74 |
| Grawn, MI 49637 | $350.5K | +3.6% | 52 |
| Buckley, MI 49620 | $291.7K | +3.5% | 58 |