Frederic, MI 49733 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 55
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Home Value
$200,254
+7.2% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
55
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
4.1 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
60 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
24%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
94.7%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
24%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
44%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$78
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 44% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 7.2% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 59% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−15% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (55/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 5.3% below their final list price; 24% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 24% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $52k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,135 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $78 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (64% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.3% to +9.0% (80% range; middle estimate +2.0%), chance of a rise 64%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Crawford County, MI
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grayling, MI 49738 | $184.2K | +2.8% | 35 |