Adair, IA 50002 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 26
Open on the mapMarket report (PDF)Compare
Home Value
$206,273
+9.4% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
26
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
0.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
148 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
0.0%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
93.4%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
21%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
27%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$133
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 27% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 9.4% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. Listings are 88% below the 2017-19 norm and falling (−83% vs. a year ago): still a tight market.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (26/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 6.6% below their final list price; 0% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 21% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $55k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,809 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $133 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −4% to +12% over the next 12 months (78% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.5% to +11.8% (80% range; middle estimate +4.8%), chance of a rise 78%, of a 5%+ drop 8%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
Follow Adair, IA 50002
One email a month: what changed in prices, supply and the outlook. Unsubscribe any time.
Other ZIP codes in Guthrie County, IA
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guthrie Center, IA 50115 | $215.1K | +12.3% | 71 |
| Panora, IA 50216 | $501.5K | +4.6% | 68 |
| Coon Rapids, IA 50058 | $182.6K | +6.6% | 43 |
| Menlo, IA 50164 | $226.4K | +4.1% | 100 |
| Yale, IA 50277 | $216K | +6.2% | 76 |
| Casey, IA 50048 | $210.6K | +8.1% | 30 |
| Bayard, IA 50029 | $110.3K | −5.9% | 80 |
| Bagley, IA 50026 | $168.5K | +1.8% | 32 |
| Jamaica, IA 50128 | $174.5K | +3.9% | 70 |