Oconto Falls, WI 54154 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 35
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Home Value
$290,330
+7.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
35
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
3.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
50 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
22%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
101.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
39%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
92%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$75
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 92% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 7.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 0% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+143% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is moderate (35/100; U.S.: 54): homes typically sell at or above asking (101.0% of list); 22% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 39% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $77k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,131 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $75 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −5% to +11% over the next 12 months (76% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −4.9% to +11.4% (80% range; middle estimate +4.4%), chance of a rise 76%, of a 5%+ drop 9%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Oconto County, WI
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oconto, WI 54153 | $251.1K | +7.2% | 53 |
| Sobieski, WI 54171 | $479.3K | +3.9% | 23 |
| Gillett, WI 54124 | $247.9K | +8.5% | 21 |
| Suring, WI 54174 | $259.9K | +7.3% | 27 |
| Lena, WI 54139 | $306.7K | +8.6% | 17 |
| Abrams, WI 54101 | $408K | +6.8% | 5 |
| Little Suamico, WI 54141 | $402.1K | +4.7% | 7 |
| Pound, WI 54161 | $290.3K | +9.3% | 36 |
| Mountain, WI 54149 | $270K | +9.7% | 40 |
| Townsend, WI 54175 | $348.1K | +10.5% | 38 |
| Lakewood, WI 54138 | $296.9K | +7.8% | 75 |