Winneconne, WI 54986 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 31
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Home Value
$357,735
+4.1% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
31
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
1.5 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
19 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
40%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.6%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
30%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
24%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$134
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 24% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 4.1% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 15% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+233% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is low (31/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 0.4% below their final list price; 40% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 30% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $94k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $1,131 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $134 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. Leaning up: likely −6% to +11% over the next 12 months (73% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
Leaning up
Prices are more likely to rise than fall over the next year. Likely change: −5.5% to +10.8% (80% range; middle estimate +3.7%), chance of a rise 73%, of a 5%+ drop 11%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Winnebago County, WI
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Neenah, WI 54956 | $347.6K | +3.9% | 18 |
| Oshkosh, WI 54901 | $229.9K | +4.8% | 26 |
| Oshkosh, WI 54904 | $365.5K | +5.1% | 11 |
| Oshkosh, WI 54902 | $236.5K | +5.5% | 13 |
| Omro, WI 54963 | $289.3K | +1.2% | 8 |
| Larsen, WI 54947 | $356.2K | +3.7% | 11 |
| Utica, WI 54964 | $353.9K | +5.5% | 14 |
| Winneconne, WI 54927 | $324.9K | 0.0% | 21 |
| ZIP 54985 | – | – | 28 |
| ZIP 54980 | – | – | 0 |