Elko New Market, MN 55020 housing market
Data through Aug 2026 · Balanced market · leverage 66
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Home Value
$525,652
+2.9% vs. a year ago
Buyer Leverage Score
66
Sep 2026
Months of Supply
5.2 months
Aug 2026
Days on Market
47 days
Sep 2026
Price Cut %
26%
Sep 2026
Sale-to-List Ratio
99.0%
Aug 2026
Mtg Payment as % of Income
31%
Aug 2026
Overvalued %
35%
Aug 2026
Expected Disaster Loss
$117
Dec 2025
What this means
- Valuation. Prices are 35% above what local incomes have historically supported (this area's pre-2020 price-to-income ratio).
- Prices. Home values are up 2.9% over the past year (U.S.: +1.2%).
- Supply. There are 97% more homes for sale than the 2017-19 norm and rising (+90% vs. a year ago), so buyers have more to choose from than before the pandemic.
- Negotiating. Buyer leverage is high (66/100; U.S.: 54): homes sell for about 1.0% below their final list price; 26% of listings had a price cut (U.S.: 26%).
- Affordability. A mortgage on the typical home takes 31% of the median household income (U.S.: 35%); it takes about $133k a year to keep the payment at 30% of gross pay. That includes about $2,036 a year for home insurance (U.S.: $1,790).
- Disaster risk. FEMA expects about $117 a year in natural-disaster damage per $100k of building value (U.S.: $155), mostly from flooding.
- Outlook. No clear direction: likely −7% to +9% over the next 12 months (63% chance of a rise).
Next 12 months
No clear direction
A rise is somewhat more likely than a fall, but not by enough to call. Likely change: −7.3% to +9.0% (80% range; middle estimate +1.9%), chance of a rise 63%, of a 5%+ drop 15%.
HouseVane's model, refit every month on local market signals and national ones, trained only on data known at the time. How accurate it has been.
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Other ZIP codes in Scott County, MN
| Area | Home value | 1-year change | Buyer leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shakopee, MN 55379 | $405.2K | +1.1% | 38 |
| Prior Lake, MN 55372 | $521K | +1.7% | 27 |
| Savage, MN 55378 | $435.4K | +1.4% | 20 |
| Jordan, MN 55352 | $436.1K | +1.3% | 24 |
| Belle Plaine, MN 56011 | $350.3K | +1.2% | 63 |
| Elko New Market, MN 55054 | $432.8K | +1.1% | 42 |